I developed a presentation for Fair Vote Canada’s Waterloo Region chapter together with Sharon Sommerville, Bob Jonkman, Sean Haberlin, Gordon Divitt, Holly Featherstone and others. This formed the basis for presentations given to Google’s Kitchener office, a set of three Fair Vote Canada webinars, community groups, and others.
Being asked to work with Tony Hodgson, Wilf Day, Anita Nickerson and others to develop the Rural-Urban PR model is what got me into election modelling in the first place. To be blunt, I didn’t trust their spreadsheet and needed to do it myself. They were right – it’s an excellent model. In the process of proving that to myself, I realized that my methodolgy could be applied to many other models as well.
This is a model that was developed in collaboration with PR activists in Guelph, Ontario, in the days following the delivery of the ERRE report. We were still hopeful that some members of the Liberal party (notably Lloyd Axworthy of Guelph) might help get electoral reform back on the table with a suitably constrained model.
This model obeys an incredibly restrictive set of constraints: no redistricting, no top-up MPs, every riding has an local MP.