Region Results for mmp_small-MMP_AV-2015 (2015 Data)

This page presents an analysis of each region -- the number of seats each party received in the region, the number they should have received, and various percentages.

The statistics are presented twice for models that have top-up seats in the region -- once that excludes the top-up seats and once including them. This enables us to see the effect of including the top-up seats in the model.

Models that do not include top-up seats (FPTP, AV, STV) only present the statistics once.

The FPTP and AV electoral models don't even have the concept of a region. In those cases the "regions" are the provinces.

AB.Calgary AB.Edmonton AB.Northern AB.SouthCentral BC.BurnNShoreCoqMR BC.InteriorNorth BC.SurreyFValley BC.VanIsland BC.VanRichDelta MB.NorthAndSouth MB.Winnipeg NB NL NS NT NU ON.BramptonMissNorth ON.Central ON.DurhamRouge ON.EastCentral ON.HamiltonNiagBrant ON.LondonOxPerHur ON.MississaugaHalton ON.NYorkEtobicoke ON.Northern ON.OttawaCornwall ON.ScarboroughDonValley ON.TorCentral ON.WaterWellDuff ON.WindsorSarnia ON.YorkRegion PEI QC.ChaudiereApp QC.Laurentides QC.Longueuil QC.Maurice QC.MontEstrie QC.MontrealEast QC.MontrealNorth QC.MontrealWest QC.Outaouais QC.QuebecCity SK.ReginaSouth SK.SaskNorth YT

Region: AB.Calgary

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	328,225	56.3%	6	100.0%	43.7%	6	60.0%	3.7%
Lib	192,749	33.1%	0	0.0%	-33.1%	3	30.0%	-3.1%
NDP	41,124	7.1%	0	0.0%	-7.1%	1	10.0%	2.9%
Grn	14,569	2.5%	0	0.0%	-2.5%	0	0.0%	-2.5%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			39.10			4.37

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, Calgary Forest Lawn, Calgary Heritage, Calgary Midnapore, Calgary Nose Hill, Calgary Rocky Ridge, Calgary Shepard, Calgary Signal Hill, Calgary Skyview

Region: AB.Edmonton

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	267,301	47.6%	4	66.7%	19.0%	5	50.0%	2.4%
Lib	153,450	27.4%	1	16.7%	-10.7%	3	30.0%	2.6%
NDP	108,346	19.3%	1	16.7%	-2.6%	2	20.0%	0.7%
Ind	14,701	2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%
Grn	12,361	2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			15.73			3.54

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, Edmonton Mill Woods, Edmonton Riverbend, Edmonton Strathcona, Edmonton West, Edmonton-Wetaskiwin, Sherwood Park-Fort Saskatchewan, St. Albert-Edmonton

Region: AB.Northern

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	222,914	69.9%	4	100.0%	30.1%	4	66.7%	-3.2%
Lib	52,135	16.3%	0	0.0%	-16.3%	1	16.7%	0.3%
NDP	31,565	9.9%	0	0.0%	-9.9%	1	16.7%	6.8%
Grn	8,359	2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			25.30			5.66

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, Grande Prairie-Mackenzie, Lakeland, Peace River-Westlock, Sturgeon River-Parkland, Yellowhead

Region: AB.SouthCentral

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	331,660	70.9%	5	100.0%	29.1%	6	75.0%	4.1%
Lib	75,082	16.0%	0	0.0%	-16.0%	1	12.5%	-3.5%
NDP	43,764	9.4%	0	0.0%	-9.4%	1	12.5%	3.1%
Grn	13,453	2.9%	0	0.0%	-2.9%	0	0.0%	-2.9%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			24.50			4.89

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Banff-Airdrie, Battle River-Crowfoot, Bow river, Foothills, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner, Red Deer-Lacombe, Red Deer-Mountain View

Region: BC.BurnNShoreCoqMR

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	176,995	39.8%	3	60.0%	20.2%	3	37.5%	-2.3%
Con	122,845	27.6%	0	0.0%	-27.6%	2	25.0%	-2.6%
NDP	116,632	26.2%	2	40.0%	13.8%	2	25.0%	-1.2%
Grn	23,971	5.4%	0	0.0%	-5.4%	1	12.5%	7.1%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			26.37			5.68

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Burnaby North-Seymour, Burnaby South, Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, New Westminster-Burnaby, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge, Port Moody-Coquitlam, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country

Region: BC.InteriorNorth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	203,082	37.2%	1	16.7%	-20.6%	3	33.3%	-3.9%
Lib	163,974	30.1%	3	50.0%	19.9%	3	33.3%	3.3%
NDP	153,149	28.1%	2	33.3%	5.3%	3	33.3%	5.3%
Grn	21,577	4.0%	0	0.0%	-4.0%	0	0.0%	-4.0%
Total Number of MPs:			6			9
Gallagher Index:			20.78			5.89

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cariboo-Prince George, Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, Kelowna-Lake Country, Kootenay-Columbia, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, South Okanagan-West Kootenay

Region: BC.SurreyFValley

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	186,733	41.5%	4	80.0%	38.5%	4	44.4%	3.0%
Con	161,137	35.8%	1	20.0%	-15.8%	3	33.3%	-2.4%
NDP	81,890	18.2%	0	0.0%	-18.2%	2	22.2%	4.0%
Grn	17,494	3.9%	0	0.0%	-3.9%	0	0.0%	-3.9%
Total Number of MPs:			5			9
Gallagher Index:			32.25			4.82

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Abbotsford, Chilliwack-Hope, Cloverdale-Langley City, Fleetwood-Port Kells, Langley-Aldergrove, Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon, South Surrey-White Rock, Surrey Centre, Surrey-Newton

Region: BC.VanIsland

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
NDP	157,187	33.3%	4	100.0%	66.7%	4	57.1%	23.8%
Grn	111,988	23.8%	0	0.0%	-23.8%	1	14.3%	-9.5%
Lib	100,557	21.3%	0	0.0%	-21.3%	1	14.3%	-7.0%
Con	99,934	21.2%	0	0.0%	-21.2%	1	14.3%	-6.9%
Total Number of MPs:			4			7
Gallagher Index:			54.37			19.41

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Courtenay-Alberni, Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, North Island-Powell River, Saanich-Gulf Islands, Victoria

Region: BC.VanRichDelta

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	201,556	44.6%	5	100.0%	55.4%	5	55.6%	11.0%
Con	121,011	26.8%	0	0.0%	-26.8%	2	22.2%	-4.5%
NDP	106,298	23.5%	0	0.0%	-23.5%	2	22.2%	-1.3%
Grn	19,817	4.4%	0	0.0%	-4.4%	0	0.0%	-4.4%
Total Number of MPs:			5			9
Gallagher Index:			46.70			9.01

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Delta, Richmond Centre, Steveston-Richmond East, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver Granville, Vancouver Kingsway, Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver South

Region: MB.NorthAndSouth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	118,795	47.9%	3	75.0%	27.1%	3	50.0%	2.1%
Lib	81,827	33.0%	1	25.0%	-8.0%	2	33.3%	0.3%
NDP	31,734	12.8%	0	0.0%	-12.8%	1	16.7%	3.9%
Grn	9,778	3.9%	0	0.0%	-3.9%	0	0.0%	-3.9%
Ind	3,357	1.4%	0	0.0%	-1.4%	0	0.0%	-1.4%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			22.13			4.32

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brandon-Souris, Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa, Portage-Lisgar, Provencher, Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman

Region: MB.Winnipeg

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	186,453	52.9%	5	100.0%	47.1%	5	62.5%	9.6%
Con	105,732	30.0%	0	0.0%	-30.0%	2	25.0%	-5.0%
NDP	50,226	14.2%	0	0.0%	-14.2%	1	12.5%	-1.7%
Grn	9,166	2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			40.80			7.97

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley, Elmwood-Transcona, Kildonan-St. Paul, Saint Boniface-Saint Vital, Winnipeg Centre, Winnipeg North, Winnipeg South, Winnipeg South Centre

Region: NB

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	227,764	51.6%	6	100.0%	48.4%	6	60.0%	8.4%
Con	112,070	25.4%	0	0.0%	-25.4%	2	20.0%	-5.4%
NDP	81,105	18.4%	0	0.0%	-18.4%	2	20.0%	1.6%
Grn	20,551	4.7%	0	0.0%	-4.7%	0	0.0%	-4.7%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			40.92			7.89

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Acadie-Bathurst, Beauséjour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska-Restigouche, Miramichi-Grand Lake, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe, New Brunswick Southwest, Saint John-Rothesay, Tobique-Mactaquac

Region: NL

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	165,418	64.5%	5	100.0%	35.5%	5	71.4%	6.9%
NDP	54,120	21.1%	0	0.0%	-21.1%	1	14.3%	-6.8%
Con	26,469	10.3%	0	0.0%	-10.3%	1	14.3%	4.0%
Ind	7,501	2.9%	0	0.0%	-2.9%	0	0.0%	-2.9%
Grn	2,772	1.1%	0	0.0%	-1.1%	0	0.0%	-1.1%
Total Number of MPs:			5			7
Gallagher Index:			30.19			7.75

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Avalon, Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, Labrador, Long Range Mountains, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl

Region: NS

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	324,815	62.0%	7	100.0%	38.0%	7	63.6%	1.6%
Con	93,697	17.9%	0	0.0%	-17.9%	2	18.2%	0.3%
NDP	85,468	16.3%	0	0.0%	-16.3%	2	18.2%	1.9%
Grn	17,630	3.4%	0	0.0%	-3.4%	0	0.0%	-3.4%
Total Number of MPs:			7			11
Gallagher Index:			31.93			2.96

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cape Breton-Canso, Central Nova, Cumberland-Colchester, Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, Halifax, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, South Shore-St. Margarets, Sydney-Victoria, West Nova

Region: NT

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	9,172	48.3%	1	100.0%	51.7%	1	100.0%	51.7%
NDP	5,783	30.5%	0	0.0%	-30.5%	0	0.0%	-30.5%
Con	3,481	18.3%	0	0.0%	-18.3%	0	0.0%	-18.3%
Grn	537	2.8%	0	0.0%	-2.8%	0	0.0%	-2.8%
Total Number of MPs:			1			1
Gallagher Index:			44.40			44.40

Topup Seats: (0)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Northwest Territories

Region: NU

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	5,619	47.1%	1	100.0%	52.9%	1	100.0%	52.9%
NDP	3,171	26.6%	0	0.0%	-26.6%	0	0.0%	-26.6%
Con	2,956	24.8%	0	0.0%	-24.8%	0	0.0%	-24.8%
Grn	182	1.5%	0	0.0%	-1.5%	0	0.0%	-1.5%
Total Number of MPs:			1			1
Gallagher Index:			45.39			45.39

Topup Seats: (0)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Nunavut

Region: ON.BramptonMissNorth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	167,120	51.9%	4	100.0%	48.1%	4	57.1%	5.3%
Con	103,194	32.0%	0	0.0%	-32.0%	2	28.6%	-3.5%
NDP	45,072	14.0%	0	0.0%	-14.0%	1	14.3%	0.3%
Grn	5,986	1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%
Total Number of MPs:			4			7
Gallagher Index:			42.08			4.65

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brampton Centre, Brampton East, Brampton North, Brampton South, Brampton West, Mississauga-Malton, Mississauga-Streetsville

Region: ON.Central

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	147,943	44.8%	2	50.0%	5.2%	3	50.0%	5.2%
Lib	129,199	39.1%	2	50.0%	10.9%	2	33.3%	-5.8%
NDP	34,836	10.5%	0	0.0%	-10.5%	1	16.7%	6.1%
Grn	15,696	4.8%	0	0.0%	-4.8%	0	0.0%	-4.8%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			11.82			7.77

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Barrie-Innisfil, Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte, Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, Parry Sound-Muskoka, Simcoe North, Simcoe-Grey

Region: ON.DurhamRouge

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	159,667	45.0%	4	100.0%	55.0%	4	66.7%	21.6%
Con	134,835	38.0%	0	0.0%	-38.0%	2	33.3%	-4.7%
NDP	51,526	14.5%	0	0.0%	-14.5%	0	0.0%	-14.5%
Grn	7,704	2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			48.39			18.79

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Ajax, Durham, Oshawa, Pickering-Uxbridge, Scarborough-Rouge Park, Whitby

Region: ON.EastCentral

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	223,521	41.7%	4	66.7%	25.0%	4	44.4%	2.8%
Con	212,138	39.6%	2	33.3%	-6.2%	4	44.4%	4.9%
NDP	76,082	14.2%	0	0.0%	-14.2%	1	11.1%	-3.1%
Grn	16,835	3.1%	0	0.0%	-3.1%	0	0.0%	-3.1%
Ind	6,672	1.2%	0	0.0%	-1.2%	0	0.0%	-1.2%
Total Number of MPs:			6			9
Gallagher Index:			20.92			5.11

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Bay of Quinte, Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, Hastings-Lennox and Addington, Kingston and the Islands, Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston, Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, Northumberland-Peterborough South, Peterborough-Kawartha, Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke

Region: ON.HamiltonNiagBrant

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	224,886	37.1%	6	85.7%	48.6%	6	54.5%	17.5%
Con	216,122	35.6%	1	14.3%	-21.3%	3	27.3%	-8.4%
NDP	140,636	23.2%	0	0.0%	-23.2%	2	18.2%	-5.0%
Grn	18,252	3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%
Total Number of MPs:			7			11
Gallagher Index:			41.04			14.31

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brantford-Brant, Flamborough-Glanbrook, Haldimand-Norfolk, Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Hamilton Mountain, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, Niagara Centre, Niagara Falls, Niagara West, St. Catharines

Region: ON.LondonOxPerHur

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	161,335	39.3%	1	25.0%	-14.3%	3	42.9%	3.6%
Lib	159,358	38.8%	3	75.0%	36.2%	3	42.9%	4.1%
NDP	73,671	17.9%	0	0.0%	-17.9%	1	14.3%	-3.6%
Grn	12,340	3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%
Total Number of MPs:			4			7
Gallagher Index:			30.38			5.11

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Elgin-Middlesex-London, Huron-Bruce, London North Centre, London West, London-Fanshawe, Oxford, Perth-Wellington

Region: ON.MississaugaHalton

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	224,865	48.5%	5	100.0%	51.5%	5	62.5%	14.0%
Con	187,932	40.6%	0	0.0%	-40.6%	3	37.5%	-3.1%
NDP	39,323	8.5%	0	0.0%	-8.5%	0	0.0%	-8.5%
Grn	9,425	2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			46.75			11.85

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Burlington, Milton, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East-Cooksville, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga-Lakeshore, Oakville, Oakville North-Burlington

Region: ON.NYorkEtobicoke

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	209,517	53.4%	5	100.0%	46.6%	5	62.5%	9.1%
Con	128,973	32.8%	0	0.0%	-32.8%	2	25.0%	-7.8%
NDP	44,124	11.2%	0	0.0%	-11.2%	1	12.5%	1.3%
Grn	6,959	1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			41.13			8.66

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Eglinton-Lawrence, Etobicoke Centre, Etobicoke North, Etobicoke-Lakeshore, Humber River-Black Creek, Willowdale, York Centre, York South-Weston

Region: ON.Northern

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	166,055	42.9%	5	83.3%	40.5%	5	55.6%	12.7%
NDP	115,560	29.8%	1	16.7%	-13.2%	2	22.2%	-7.6%
Con	89,461	23.1%	0	0.0%	-23.1%	2	22.2%	-0.9%
Grn	15,453	4.0%	0	0.0%	-4.0%	0	0.0%	-4.0%
Total Number of MPs:			6			9
Gallagher Index:			34.35			10.86

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Kenora, Nickel Belt, Nipissing-Timiskaming, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Superior North, Timmins-James Bay

Region: ON.OttawaCornwall

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	336,305	51.8%	6	100.0%	48.2%	6	60.0%	8.2%
Con	207,968	32.0%	0	0.0%	-32.0%	3	30.0%	-2.0%
NDP	83,870	12.9%	0	0.0%	-12.9%	1	10.0%	-2.9%
Grn	16,756	2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			41.97			6.58

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Carleton, Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Kanata-Carleton, Nepean, Orléans, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa South, Ottawa West-Nepean, Ottawa-Vanier, Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

Region: ON.ScarboroughDonValley

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	189,011	53.3%	5	100.0%	46.7%	5	62.5%	9.2%
Con	111,339	31.4%	0	0.0%	-31.4%	2	25.0%	-6.4%
NDP	44,711	12.6%	0	0.0%	-12.6%	1	12.5%	-0.1%
Grn	6,918	1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			40.81			8.06

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Don Valley East, Don Valley North, Don Valley West, Scarborough Centre, Scarborough North, Scarborough Southwest, Scarborough-Agincourt, Scarborough-Guildwood

Region: ON.TorCentral

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	216,327	49.4%	5	100.0%	50.6%	5	62.5%	13.1%
NDP	136,398	31.1%	0	0.0%	-31.1%	2	25.0%	-6.1%
Con	67,482	15.4%	0	0.0%	-15.4%	1	12.5%	-2.9%
Grn	13,146	3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%	0	0.0%	-3.0%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			43.46			10.66

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Beaches-East York, Davenport, Parkdale-High Park, Spadina-Fort York, Toronto Centre, Toronto-Danforth, Toronto-St. Paul's, University-Rosedale

Region: ON.WaterWellDuff

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	200,118	44.0%	4	80.0%	36.0%	4	50.0%	6.0%
Con	172,862	38.0%	1	20.0%	-18.0%	3	37.5%	-0.5%
NDP	55,209	12.1%	0	0.0%	-12.1%	1	12.5%	0.4%
Grn	23,003	5.1%	0	0.0%	-5.1%	0	0.0%	-5.1%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			29.95			5.59

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cambridge, Dufferin-Caledon, Guelph, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener South-Hespeler, Kitchener-Conestoga, Waterloo, Wellington-Halton Hills

Region: ON.WindsorSarnia

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	118,534	36.2%	1	25.0%	-11.2%	2	33.3%	-2.9%
NDP	109,621	33.5%	2	50.0%	16.5%	2	33.3%	-0.2%
Lib	90,454	27.6%	1	25.0%	-2.6%	2	33.3%	5.7%
Grn	8,143	2.5%	0	0.0%	-2.5%	0	0.0%	-2.5%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			14.34			4.85

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Chatham-Kent-Leamington, Essex, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, Sarnia-Lambton, Windsor West, Windsor-Tecumseh

Region: ON.YorkRegion

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	233,275	45.4%	2	33.3%	-12.1%	5	50.0%	4.6%
Lib	232,989	45.4%	4	66.7%	21.3%	4	40.0%	-5.4%
NDP	35,276	6.9%	0	0.0%	-6.9%	1	10.0%	3.1%
Grn	9,375	1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			18.03			5.61

Topup Seats: (4)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, King-Vaughan, Markham-Stouffville, Markham-Thornhill, Markham-Unionville, Newmarket-Aurora, Richmond Hill, Thornhill, Vaughan-Woodbridge, York-Simcoe

Region: PEI

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	51,002	58.3%	2	100.0%	41.7%	2	50.0%	-8.3%
Con	16,900	19.3%	0	0.0%	-19.3%	1	25.0%	5.7%
NDP	14,006	16.0%	0	0.0%	-16.0%	1	25.0%	9.0%
Grn	5,281	6.0%	0	0.0%	-6.0%	0	0.0%	-6.0%
Total Number of MPs:			2			4
Gallagher Index:			34.68			10.45

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cardigan, Charlottetown, Egmont, Malpeque

Region: QC.ChaudiereApp

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	135,151	33.9%	3	60.0%	26.1%	3	37.5%	3.6%
Lib	108,592	27.2%	1	20.0%	-7.2%	2	25.0%	-2.2%
NDP	85,108	21.4%	1	20.0%	-1.4%	2	25.0%	3.6%
Bloc	56,904	14.3%	0	0.0%	-14.3%	1	12.5%	-1.8%
Grn	7,362	1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%	0	0.0%	-1.8%
Oth	5,400	1.4%	0	0.0%	-1.4%	0	0.0%	-1.4%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			21.73			4.45

Topup Seats: (3)

Lib
Bloc
NDP

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Avignon-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia, Beauce, Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Lévis, Gaspésie-Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Lévis-Lotbinière, Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup, Mégantic-L'Érable, Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques

Region: QC.Laurentides

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Bloc	165,788	31.5%	0	0.0%	-31.5%	2	22.2%	-9.3%
Lib	152,385	28.9%	4	80.0%	51.1%	4	44.4%	15.5%
NDP	139,819	26.5%	1	20.0%	-6.5%	2	22.2%	-4.3%
Con	54,587	10.4%	0	0.0%	-10.4%	1	11.1%	0.7%
Grn	11,045	2.1%	0	0.0%	-2.1%	0	0.0%	-2.1%
Total Number of MPs:			5			9
Gallagher Index:			43.32			13.23

Topup Seats: (4)

Bloc
Bloc
NDP
Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Joliette, Laurentides-Labelle, Mirabel, Montcalm, Repentigny, Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, Rivière-du-Nord, Terrebonne, Thérèse-De Blainville

Region: QC.Longueuil

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	209,466	35.7%	5	83.3%	47.7%	5	50.0%	14.3%
NDP	152,618	26.0%	1	16.7%	-9.3%	2	20.0%	-6.0%
Bloc	142,804	24.3%	0	0.0%	-24.3%	2	20.0%	-4.3%
Con	63,643	10.8%	0	0.0%	-10.8%	1	10.0%	-0.8%
Grn	16,509	2.8%	0	0.0%	-2.8%	0	0.0%	-2.8%
Total Number of MPs:			6			10
Gallagher Index:			39.22			11.59

Topup Seats: (4)

Bloc
NDP
Bloc
Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Beloeil-Chambly, Brossard-Saint-Lambert, Châteauguay-Lacolle, La Prairie, Longueuil-Charles-LeMoyne, Longueuil-Saint-Hubert, Montarville, Pierre-Boucher-Les Patriotes-Verchères, Salaberry-Suroît, Vaudreuil-Soulanges

Region: QC.Maurice

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
NDP	95,957	28.5%	3	75.0%	46.5%	3	50.0%	21.5%
Lib	94,653	28.1%	1	25.0%	-3.1%	1	16.7%	-11.5%
Bloc	78,381	23.3%	0	0.0%	-23.3%	1	16.7%	-6.6%
Con	60,052	17.8%	0	0.0%	-17.8%	1	16.7%	-1.2%
Grn	6,459	1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			38.96			17.92

Topup Seats: (2)

Bloc
Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Berthier-Maskinongé, Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, Drummond, Richmond-Arthabaska, Saint-Maurice-Champlain, Trois-Rivières

Region: QC.MontEstrie

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	121,356	35.1%	3	75.0%	39.9%	3	50.0%	14.9%
NDP	98,171	28.4%	1	25.0%	-3.4%	1	16.7%	-11.8%
Bloc	74,791	21.6%	0	0.0%	-21.6%	1	16.7%	-5.0%
Con	42,269	12.2%	0	0.0%	-12.2%	1	16.7%	4.4%
Grn	7,526	2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%	0	0.0%	-2.2%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			33.35			14.29

Topup Seats: (2)

Bloc
Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brome-Missisquoi, Compton-Stanstead, Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot, Saint-Jean, Shefford, Sherbrooke

Region: QC.MontrealEast

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	146,399	35.0%	2	40.0%	5.0%	3	37.5%	2.5%
NDP	140,109	33.5%	3	60.0%	26.5%	3	37.5%	4.0%
Bloc	84,237	20.1%	0	0.0%	-20.1%	2	25.0%	4.9%
Con	28,925	6.9%	0	0.0%	-6.9%	0	0.0%	-6.9%
Grn	13,604	3.3%	0	0.0%	-3.3%	0	0.0%	-3.3%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			24.42			7.24

Topup Seats: (3)

Bloc
Lib
Bloc

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Hochelaga, La Pointe-de-l'Île, LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, Laurier-Sainte-Marie, Outremont, Papineau, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie, Ville-Marie-Le Sud-Ouest-Île-des-Surs

Region: QC.MontrealNorth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	204,115	49.6%	5	100.0%	50.4%	5	62.5%	12.9%
NDP	86,070	20.9%	0	0.0%	-20.9%	1	12.5%	-8.4%
Bloc	61,734	15.0%	0	0.0%	-15.0%	1	12.5%	-2.5%
Con	48,883	11.9%	0	0.0%	-11.9%	1	12.5%	0.6%
Grn	8,027	2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			40.89			11.11

Topup Seats: (3)

NDP
Bloc
Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Alfred-Pellan, Bourassa, Honoré-Mercier, Laval-Les Îles, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel, Vimy

Region: QC.MontrealWest

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	183,032	58.0%	4	100.0%	42.0%	4	66.7%	8.6%
Con	62,082	19.7%	0	0.0%	-19.7%	1	16.7%	-3.0%
NDP	49,109	15.6%	0	0.0%	-15.6%	1	16.7%	1.1%
Bloc	13,131	4.2%	0	0.0%	-4.2%	0	0.0%	-4.2%
Grn	7,227	2.3%	0	0.0%	-2.3%	0	0.0%	-2.3%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			34.74			7.33

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle, Lac-Saint-Louis, Mount Royal, Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount, Pierrefonds-Dollard, Saint-Laurent

Region: QC.Outaouais

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	141,627	45.5%	3	75.0%	29.5%	3	50.0%	4.5%
NDP	92,978	29.9%	1	25.0%	-4.9%	2	33.3%	3.5%
Bloc	38,991	12.5%	0	0.0%	-12.5%	1	16.7%	4.1%
Con	30,043	9.7%	0	0.0%	-9.7%	0	0.0%	-9.7%
Grn	5,822	1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			23.95			8.54

Topup Seats: (2)

NDP
Bloc

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation, Gatineau, Hull-Aylmer, Pontiac

Region: QC.QuebecCity

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	183,529	31.1%	2	28.6%	-2.5%	3	27.3%	-3.8%
Lib	154,046	26.1%	4	57.1%	31.1%	4	36.4%	10.3%
NDP	135,427	22.9%	1	14.3%	-8.6%	2	18.2%	-4.7%
Bloc	104,382	17.7%	0	0.0%	-17.7%	2	18.2%	0.5%
Grn	11,814	2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%	0	0.0%	-2.0%
Total Number of MPs:			7			11
Gallagher Index:			26.10			8.57

Topup Seats: (4)

Bloc
NDP
Con
Bloc

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix, Beauport-Limoilou, Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Jonquière, Lac-Saint-Jean, Louis-Hébert, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Manicouagan, Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, Québec

Region: SK.ReginaSouth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	120,766	49.7%	3	75.0%	25.3%	3	50.0%	0.3%
Lib	63,098	26.0%	1	25.0%	-1.0%	2	33.3%	7.4%
NDP	53,240	21.9%	0	0.0%	-21.9%	1	16.7%	-5.2%
Grn	5,517	2.3%	0	0.0%	-2.3%	0	0.0%	-2.3%
Total Number of MPs:			4			6
Gallagher Index:			23.74			6.60

Topup Seats: (2)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cypress Hills-Grasslands, Moose Jaw-Lake Centre-Lanigan, Regina-Lewvan, Regina-Qu'Appelle, Regina-Wascana, Souris-Moose Mountain

Region: SK.SaskNorth

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Con	147,171	47.7%	4	80.0%	32.3%	4	50.0%	2.3%
NDP	85,332	27.6%	1	20.0%	-7.6%	2	25.0%	-2.6%
Lib	68,583	22.2%	0	0.0%	-22.2%	2	25.0%	2.8%
Grn	6,010	1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%	0	0.0%	-1.9%
Total Number of MPs:			5			8
Gallagher Index:			28.30			3.47

Topup Seats: (3)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Battlefords-Lloydminster, Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek, Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River, Prince Albert, Saskatoon West, Saskatoon-Grasswood, Saskatoon-University, Yorkton-Melville

Region: YT

			Ridings Only			Ridings + Top-up
Party	Popular Votes	Pct Votes	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep	Elected MPs	Pct Elected MPs	Over Rep
Lib	10,887	53.7%	1	100.0%	46.3%	1	100.0%	46.3%
Con	4,928	24.3%	0	0.0%	-24.3%	0	0.0%	-24.3%
NDP	3,943	19.4%	0	0.0%	-19.4%	0	0.0%	-19.4%
Grn	533	2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%	0	0.0%	-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:			1			1
Gallagher Index:			39.51			39.51

Topup Seats: (0)

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Yukon