Region Results for ru_enlargeP-STVplus (2011 Data)

This page presents an analysis of each region -- the number of seats each party received in the region, the number they should have received, and various percentages.

The statistics are presented twice for models that have top-up seats in the region -- once that excludes the top-up seats and once including them. This enables us to see the effect of including the top-up seats in the model.

Models that do not include top-up seats (FPTP, AV, STV) only present the statistics once.

The FPTP and AV electoral models don't even have the concept of a region. In those cases the "regions" are the provinces.

Region: R_AB.North

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con421,36566.2%1184.6%18.4%1168.8%2.5%
NDP119,02618.7%215.4%-3.3%318.8%0.0%
Lib45,7007.2%00.0%-7.2%16.3%-0.9%
Grn27,7974.4%00.0%-4.4%16.3%1.9%
Ind16,5562.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:1316
Gallagher Index:14.61 3.02

Topup Seats: (3)

  1. Lib
  2. NDP
  3. Grn

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Battle River-Crowfoot, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, Edmonton Mill Woods, Edmonton Riverbend, Edmonton Strathcona, Edmonton West, Edmonton-Wetaskiwin, Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, Grande Prairie-Mackenzie, Lakeland, Peace River-Westlock

Region: R_AB.South

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con511,40067.3%1386.7%19.4%1372.2%4.9%
NDP115,70415.2%213.3%-1.9%211.1%-4.1%
Lib83,61011.0%00.0%-11.0%211.1%0.1%
Grn45,2616.0%00.0%-6.0%15.6%-0.4%
Total Number of MPs:1518
Gallagher Index:16.35 4.55

Topup Seats: (3)

  1. Lib
  2. Grn
  3. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Banff-Airdrie, Bow river, Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, Calgary Forest Lawn, Calgary Heritage, Calgary Midnapore, Calgary Nose Hill, Calgary Rocky Ridge, Calgary Shepard, Calgary Signal Hill, Calgary Skyview, Foothills, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner

Region: R_BC.IntNorthIsland

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con361,04547.0%750.0%3.0%743.8%-3.3%
NDP234,13930.5%535.7%5.2%531.3%0.7%
Lib82,54110.8%17.1%-3.6%212.5%1.7%
Grn81,97510.7%17.1%-3.5%212.5%1.8%
Total Number of MPs:1416
Gallagher Index: 5.56 3.01

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. Lib
  2. Grn

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cariboo-Prince George, Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola, Courtenay-Alberni, Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, Kelowna-Lake Country, Kootenay-Columbia, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies, Saanich-Gulf Islands, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, South Okanagan-West Kootenay

Region: R_BC.LowerMain

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con492,22744.5%1045.5%0.9%1246.2%1.6%
NDP374,96333.9%940.9%7.0%934.6%0.7%
Lib168,72215.3%313.6%-1.6%415.4%0.1%
Grn61,7945.6%00.0%-5.6%13.8%-1.7%
Total Number of MPs:2226
Gallagher Index: 6.47 1.77

Topup Seats: (4)

  1. Con
  2. Grn
  3. Lib
  4. Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Abbotsford, Burnaby North-Seymour, Burnaby South, Chilliwack-Hope, Cloverdale-Langley City, Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, Delta, Fleetwood-Port Kells, Langley-Aldergrove, Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon, New Westminster-Burnaby, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge, Port Moody-Coquitlam, Richmond Centre, South Surrey-White Rock, Steveston-Richmond East, Surrey Centre, Surrey-Newton, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver Granville

Region: R_MB

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con262,94153.5%964.3%10.8%956.3%2.7%
NDP126,63925.8%321.4%-4.4%425.0%-0.8%
Lib81,41716.6%214.3%-2.3%318.8%2.2%
Grn17,7383.6%00.0%-3.6%00.0%-3.6%
Total Number of MPs:1416
Gallagher Index: 8.75 3.60

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. NDP
  2. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brandon-Souris, Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley, Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa, Elmwood-Transcona, Kildonan-St. Paul, Portage-Lisgar, Provencher, Saint Boniface-Saint Vital, Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman, Winnipeg Centre, Winnipeg North, Winnipeg South, Winnipeg South Centre

Region: R_NB

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con170,42043.8%550.0%6.2%545.5%1.6%
NDP115,83029.8%330.0%0.2%327.3%-2.5%
Lib87,87122.6%220.0%-2.6%327.3%4.7%
Grn12,3173.2%00.0%-3.2%00.0%-3.2%
Total Number of MPs:1011
Gallagher Index: 5.25 4.53

Topup Seats: (1)

  1. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Acadie-Bathurst, Beauséjour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska-Restigouche, Miramichi-Grand Lake, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe, New Brunswick Southwest, Saint John-Rothesay, Tobique-Mactaquac

Region: R_NL

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Lib82,34437.9%571.4%33.5%562.5%24.6%
NDP70,86832.6%228.6%-4.0%225.0%-7.6%
Con61,56228.3%00.0%-28.3%112.5%-15.8%
Total Number of MPs:78
Gallagher Index:31.1821.39

Topup Seats: (1)

  1. Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Avalon, Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, Labrador, Long Range Mountains, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl

Region: R_NS

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con165,81836.7%545.5%8.7%538.5%1.7%
NDP136,62030.3%218.2%-12.1%430.8%0.5%
Lib130,57728.9%436.4%7.4%430.8%1.8%
Grn17,8083.9%00.0%-3.9%00.0%-3.9%
Total Number of MPs:1113
Gallagher Index:12.10 3.33

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. NDP
  2. NDP

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cape Breton-Canso, Central Nova, Cumberland-Colchester, Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, Halifax, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, South Shore-St. Margarets, Sydney-Victoria, West Nova

Region: R_NT

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
NDP7,14045.8%1100.0%54.2%1100.0%54.2%
Con5,00132.1%00.0%-32.1%00.0%-32.1%
Lib2,87218.4%00.0%-18.4%00.0%-18.4%
Grn4773.1%00.0%-3.1%00.0%-3.1%
Total Number of MPs:11
Gallagher Index:46.4446.44

Topup Seats: (0)

    Constituent 2015 Ridings

    Northwest Territories

    Region: R_NU

    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
    Con3,93049.9%1100.0%50.1%1100.0%50.1%
    Lib2,26028.7%00.0%-28.7%00.0%-28.7%
    NDP1,52519.4%00.0%-19.4%00.0%-19.4%
    Grn1602.0%00.0%-2.0%00.0%-2.0%
    Total Number of MPs:11
    Gallagher Index:43.0843.08

    Topup Seats: (0)

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Nunavut

      Region: R_ON.Eastern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con426,52042.9%1052.6%9.7%1045.5%2.6%
      NDP268,33727.0%631.6%4.6%627.3%0.3%
      Lib260,04526.1%315.8%-10.4%627.3%1.1%
      Grn33,6693.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
      Total Number of MPs:1922
      Gallagher Index:10.84 3.13

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Lib
      2. Lib
      3. Lib

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Bay of Quinte, Carleton, Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, Hastings-Lennox and Addington, Kanata-Carleton, Kingston and the Islands, Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston, Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, Nepean, Northumberland-Peterborough South, Orléans, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa South, Ottawa West-Nepean, Ottawa-Vanier, Peterborough-Kawartha, Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke, Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

      Region: R_ON.GTA

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con1,118,25245.4%2146.7%1.3%2546.3%0.9%
      NDP611,12724.8%1124.4%-0.4%1425.9%1.1%
      Lib605,83924.6%1328.9%4.3%1324.1%-0.5%
      Grn97,8464.0%00.0%-4.0%23.7%-0.3%
      Total Number of MPs:4554
      Gallagher Index: 4.29 1.26

      Topup Seats: (9)

      1. Con
      2. Con
      3. NDP
      4. Grn
      5. Con
      6. NDP
      7. Grn
      8. Con
      9. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Ajax, Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, Beaches-East York, Brampton Centre, Brampton East, Brampton North, Brampton South, Brampton West, Davenport, Don Valley East, Don Valley North, Don Valley West, Dufferin-Caledon, Durham, Eglinton-Lawrence, Etobicoke Centre, Etobicoke North, Etobicoke-Lakeshore, King-Vaughan, Markham-Stouffville, Markham-Thornhill, Markham-Unionville, Milton, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East-Cooksville, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga-Lakeshore, Mississauga-Malton, Mississauga-Streetsville, Newmarket-Aurora, Oakville, Oakville North-Burlington, Oshawa, Parkdale-High Park, Pickering-Uxbridge, Richmond Hill, Scarborough Centre, Scarborough North, Scarborough Southwest, Scarborough-Agincourt, Scarborough-Guildwood, Scarborough-Rouge Park, Spadina-Fort York, Thornhill, Toronto-St. Paul's

      Region: R_ON.Northern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con121,99339.4%225.0%-14.4%333.3%-6.0%
      NDP106,75134.5%450.0%15.5%444.4%10.0%
      Lib67,71921.9%225.0%3.1%222.2%0.4%
      Grn11,3483.7%00.0%-3.7%00.0%-3.7%
      Total Number of MPs:89
      Gallagher Index:15.36 8.66

      Topup Seats: (1)

      1. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Kenora, Nickel Belt, Nipissing-Timiskaming, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Superior North

      Region: R_ON.SouthCentral

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con374,51343.4%847.1%3.7%945.0%1.6%
      NDP232,37626.9%529.4%2.5%525.0%-1.9%
      Lib221,70425.7%423.5%-2.2%525.0%-0.7%
      Grn28,9213.4%00.0%-3.4%15.0%1.6%
      Total Number of MPs:1720
      Gallagher Index: 4.22 2.19

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Lib
      2. Con
      3. Grn

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Brantford-Brant, Burlington, Cambridge, Flamborough-Glanbrook, Guelph, Haldimand-Norfolk, Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Hamilton Mountain, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener South-Hespeler, Kitchener-Conestoga, Niagara Centre, Niagara Falls, Niagara West, St. Catharines

      Region: R_ON.Western

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con416,18546.2%847.1%0.8%945.0%-1.2%
      Lib244,99527.2%529.4%2.2%630.0%2.8%
      NDP198,84422.1%423.5%1.4%420.0%-2.1%
      Grn35,6514.0%00.0%-4.0%15.0%1.0%
      Total Number of MPs:1720
      Gallagher Index: 3.41 2.72

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Con
      2. Grn
      3. Lib

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Barrie-Innisfil, Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte, Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, Chatham-Kent-Leamington, Elgin-Middlesex-London, Essex, Huron-Bruce, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, London North Centre, London West, London-Fanshawe, Oxford, Parry Sound-Muskoka, Perth-Wellington, Sarnia-Lambton, Simcoe North, Simcoe-Grey

      Region: R_PEI

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con32,54841.2%250.0%8.8%240.0%-1.2%
      Lib32,38041.0%250.0%9.0%240.0%-1.0%
      NDP12,13515.4%00.0%-15.4%120.0%4.6%
      Grn1,8952.4%00.0%-2.4%00.0%-2.4%
      Total Number of MPs:45
      Gallagher Index:14.16 3.85

      Topup Seats: (1)

      1. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Cardigan, Charlottetown, Egmont, Malpeque

      Region: R_QC.Eastern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP580,85144.2%1869.2%25.0%1860.0%15.8%
      Bloc291,22622.2%27.7%-14.5%516.7%-5.5%
      Con202,17115.4%27.7%-7.7%310.0%-5.4%
      Lib185,80914.1%415.4%1.2%413.3%-0.8%
      Grn27,4692.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
      Ind22,7181.7%00.0%-1.7%00.0%-1.7%
      Total Number of MPs:2630
      Gallagher Index:21.2512.58

      Topup Seats: (4)

      1. Bloc
      2. Bloc
      3. Bloc
      4. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Avignon-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia, Beauce, Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix, Beauport-Limoilou, Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Lévis, Berthier-Maskinongé, Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Compton-Stanstead, Drummond, Gaspésie-Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Jonquière, Lac-Saint-Jean, Louis-Hébert, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Lévis-Lotbinière, Manicouagan, Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup, Mégantic-L'Érable, Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, Québec, Richmond-Arthabaska, Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques, Saint-Maurice-Champlain, Sherbrooke

      Region: R_QC.MonCentral

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP633,96742.6%1550.0%7.4%1544.1%1.5%
      Bloc358,82524.1%723.3%-0.8%823.5%-0.6%
      Con237,34716.0%310.0%-6.0%514.7%-1.2%
      Lib220,46214.8%516.7%1.8%514.7%-0.1%
      Grn32,1592.2%00.0%-2.2%12.9%0.8%
      Total Number of MPs:3034
      Gallagher Index: 7.03 1.55

      Topup Seats: (4)

      1. Con
      2. Con
      3. Bloc
      4. Grn

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Alfred-Pellan, Beloeil-Chambly, Bourassa, Brome-Missisquoi, Brossard-Saint-Lambert, Châteauguay-Lacolle, Hochelaga, Honoré-Mercier, Joliette, La Pointe-de-l'Île, La Prairie, Laurier-Sainte-Marie, Laval-Les Îles, Longueuil-Charles-LeMoyne, Longueuil-Saint-Hubert, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, Montarville, Montcalm, Outremont, Papineau, Pierre-Boucher-Les Patriotes-Verchères, Repentigny, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie, Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot, Saint-Jean, Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel, Salaberry-Suroît, Shefford, Terrebonne

      Region: R_QC.MonWestL

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP416,04741.6%1157.9%16.3%1150.0%8.4%
      Bloc241,37424.1%315.8%-8.3%522.7%-1.4%
      Con188,44318.8%210.5%-8.3%313.6%-5.2%
      Lib132,17613.2%315.8%2.6%313.6%0.4%
      Grn20,7742.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
      Total Number of MPs:1922
      Gallagher Index:14.41 7.22

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Bloc
      2. Con
      3. Bloc

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation, Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle, Gatineau, Hull-Aylmer, LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, Lac-Saint-Louis, Laurentides-Labelle, Mirabel, Mount Royal, Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount, Pierrefonds-Dollard, Pontiac, Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, Rivière-du-Nord, Saint-Laurent, Thérèse-De Blainville, Vaudreuil-Soulanges

      Region: R_SK

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con256,16756.3%1071.4%15.1%1062.5%6.2%
      NDP147,21432.3%321.4%-10.9%531.3%-1.1%
      Lib38,7438.5%17.1%-1.4%16.3%-2.3%
      Grn12,0452.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
      Total Number of MPs:1416
      Gallagher Index:13.37 5.10

      Topup Seats: (2)

      1. NDP
      2. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Battlefords-Lloydminster, Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek, Cypress Hills-Grasslands, Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River, Moose Jaw-Lake Centre-Lanigan, Prince Albert, Regina-Lewvan, Regina-Qu'Appelle, Regina-Wascana, Saskatoon West, Saskatoon-Grasswood, Saskatoon-University, Souris-Moose Mountain, Yorkton-Melville

      Region: R_YT

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con5,42233.8%00.0%-33.8%00.0%-33.8%
      Lib5,29032.9%1100.0%67.1%1100.0%67.1%
      Grn3,03718.9%00.0%-18.9%00.0%-18.9%
      NDP2,30814.4%00.0%-14.4%00.0%-14.4%
      Total Number of MPs:11
      Gallagher Index:55.6855.68

      Topup Seats: (0)

        Constituent 2015 Ridings

        Yukon