Region Results for kingsley-STV (2011 Data)

This page presents an analysis of each region -- the number of seats each party received in the region, the number they should have received, and various percentages.

The statistics are presented twice for models that have top-up seats in the region -- once that excludes the top-up seats and once including them. This enables us to see the effect of including the top-up seats in the model.

Models that do not include top-up seats (FPTP, AV, STV) only present the statistics once.

The FPTP and AV electoral models don't even have the concept of a region. In those cases the "regions" are the provinces.

Region: R_AB.North

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con421,36566.2%1184.6%18.4%1184.6%18.4%
NDP119,02618.7%215.4%-3.3%215.4%-3.3%
Lib45,7007.2%00.0%-7.2%00.0%-7.2%
Grn27,7974.4%00.0%-4.4%00.0%-4.4%
Ind16,5562.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
Total Number of MPs:1313
Gallagher Index:14.6114.61

Topup Seats: (0)

    Constituent 2015 Ridings

    Battle River-Crowfoot, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, Edmonton Mill Woods, Edmonton Riverbend, Edmonton Strathcona, Edmonton West, Edmonton-Wetaskiwin, Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, Grande Prairie-Mackenzie, Lakeland, Peace River-Westlock

    Region: R_AB.South

    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
    Con511,40067.3%1386.7%19.4%1386.7%19.4%
    NDP115,70415.2%213.3%-1.9%213.3%-1.9%
    Lib83,61011.0%00.0%-11.0%00.0%-11.0%
    Grn45,2616.0%00.0%-6.0%00.0%-6.0%
    Total Number of MPs:1515
    Gallagher Index:16.3516.35

    Topup Seats: (0)

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Banff-Airdrie, Bow river, Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, Calgary Forest Lawn, Calgary Heritage, Calgary Midnapore, Calgary Nose Hill, Calgary Rocky Ridge, Calgary Shepard, Calgary Signal Hill, Calgary Skyview, Foothills, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner

      Region: R_BC.IntNorthIsland

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con361,04547.0%750.0%3.0%750.0%3.0%
      NDP234,13930.5%535.7%5.2%535.7%5.2%
      Lib82,54110.8%17.1%-3.6%17.1%-3.6%
      Grn81,97510.7%17.1%-3.5%17.1%-3.5%
      Total Number of MPs:1414
      Gallagher Index: 5.56 5.56

      Topup Seats: (0)

        Constituent 2015 Ridings

        Cariboo-Prince George, Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola, Courtenay-Alberni, Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, Kelowna-Lake Country, Kootenay-Columbia, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies, Saanich-Gulf Islands, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, South Okanagan-West Kootenay

        Region: R_BC.LowerMain

        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
        Con492,22744.5%1045.5%0.9%1045.5%0.9%
        NDP374,96333.9%940.9%7.0%940.9%7.0%
        Lib168,72215.3%313.6%-1.6%313.6%-1.6%
        Grn61,7945.6%00.0%-5.6%00.0%-5.6%
        Total Number of MPs:2222
        Gallagher Index: 6.47 6.47

        Topup Seats: (0)

          Constituent 2015 Ridings

          Abbotsford, Burnaby North-Seymour, Burnaby South, Chilliwack-Hope, Cloverdale-Langley City, Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, Delta, Fleetwood-Port Kells, Langley-Aldergrove, Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon, New Westminster-Burnaby, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge, Port Moody-Coquitlam, Richmond Centre, South Surrey-White Rock, Steveston-Richmond East, Surrey Centre, Surrey-Newton, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver Granville

          Region: R_MB

          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
          Con262,94153.5%964.3%10.8%964.3%10.8%
          NDP126,63925.8%321.4%-4.4%321.4%-4.4%
          Lib81,41716.6%214.3%-2.3%214.3%-2.3%
          Grn17,7383.6%00.0%-3.6%00.0%-3.6%
          Total Number of MPs:1414
          Gallagher Index: 8.75 8.75

          Topup Seats: (0)

            Constituent 2015 Ridings

            Brandon-Souris, Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley, Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa, Elmwood-Transcona, Kildonan-St. Paul, Portage-Lisgar, Provencher, Saint Boniface-Saint Vital, Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman, Winnipeg Centre, Winnipeg North, Winnipeg South, Winnipeg South Centre

            Region: R_NB

            Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
            PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
            Con170,42043.8%550.0%6.2%550.0%6.2%
            NDP115,83029.8%330.0%0.2%330.0%0.2%
            Lib87,87122.6%220.0%-2.6%220.0%-2.6%
            Grn12,3173.2%00.0%-3.2%00.0%-3.2%
            Total Number of MPs:1010
            Gallagher Index: 5.25 5.25

            Topup Seats: (0)

              Constituent 2015 Ridings

              Acadie-Bathurst, Beauséjour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska-Restigouche, Miramichi-Grand Lake, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe, New Brunswick Southwest, Saint John-Rothesay, Tobique-Mactaquac

              Region: R_NL

              Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
              PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
              Lib82,34437.9%571.4%33.5%571.4%33.5%
              NDP70,86832.6%228.6%-4.0%228.6%-4.0%
              Con61,56228.3%00.0%-28.3%00.0%-28.3%
              Total Number of MPs:77
              Gallagher Index:31.1831.18

              Topup Seats: (0)

                Constituent 2015 Ridings

                Avalon, Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, Labrador, Long Range Mountains, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl

                Region: R_NS

                Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                Con165,81836.7%545.5%8.7%545.5%8.7%
                NDP136,62030.3%218.2%-12.1%218.2%-12.1%
                Lib130,57728.9%436.4%7.4%436.4%7.4%
                Grn17,8083.9%00.0%-3.9%00.0%-3.9%
                Total Number of MPs:1111
                Gallagher Index:12.1012.10

                Topup Seats: (0)

                  Constituent 2015 Ridings

                  Cape Breton-Canso, Central Nova, Cumberland-Colchester, Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, Halifax, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, South Shore-St. Margarets, Sydney-Victoria, West Nova

                  Region: R_NT

                  Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                  PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                  NDP7,14045.8%1100.0%54.2%1100.0%54.2%
                  Con5,00132.1%00.0%-32.1%00.0%-32.1%
                  Lib2,87218.4%00.0%-18.4%00.0%-18.4%
                  Grn4773.1%00.0%-3.1%00.0%-3.1%
                  Total Number of MPs:11
                  Gallagher Index:46.4446.44

                  Topup Seats: (0)

                    Constituent 2015 Ridings

                    Northwest Territories

                    Region: R_NU

                    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                    Con3,93049.9%1100.0%50.1%1100.0%50.1%
                    Lib2,26028.7%00.0%-28.7%00.0%-28.7%
                    NDP1,52519.4%00.0%-19.4%00.0%-19.4%
                    Grn1602.0%00.0%-2.0%00.0%-2.0%
                    Total Number of MPs:11
                    Gallagher Index:43.0843.08

                    Topup Seats: (0)

                      Constituent 2015 Ridings

                      Nunavut

                      Region: R_ON.Eastern

                      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                      Con426,52042.9%1052.6%9.7%1052.6%9.7%
                      NDP268,33727.0%631.6%4.6%631.6%4.6%
                      Lib260,04526.1%315.8%-10.4%315.8%-10.4%
                      Grn33,6693.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
                      Total Number of MPs:1919
                      Gallagher Index:10.8410.84

                      Topup Seats: (0)

                        Constituent 2015 Ridings

                        Bay of Quinte, Carleton, Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, Hastings-Lennox and Addington, Kanata-Carleton, Kingston and the Islands, Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston, Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, Nepean, Northumberland-Peterborough South, Orléans, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa South, Ottawa West-Nepean, Ottawa-Vanier, Peterborough-Kawartha, Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke, Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

                        Region: R_ON.GTA

                        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                        Con1,118,25245.4%2146.7%1.3%2146.7%1.3%
                        NDP611,12724.8%1124.4%-0.4%1124.4%-0.4%
                        Lib605,83924.6%1328.9%4.3%1328.9%4.3%
                        Grn97,8464.0%00.0%-4.0%00.0%-4.0%
                        Total Number of MPs:4545
                        Gallagher Index: 4.29 4.29

                        Topup Seats: (0)

                          Constituent 2015 Ridings

                          Ajax, Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, Beaches-East York, Brampton Centre, Brampton East, Brampton North, Brampton South, Brampton West, Davenport, Don Valley East, Don Valley North, Don Valley West, Dufferin-Caledon, Durham, Eglinton-Lawrence, Etobicoke Centre, Etobicoke North, Etobicoke-Lakeshore, King-Vaughan, Markham-Stouffville, Markham-Thornhill, Markham-Unionville, Milton, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East-Cooksville, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga-Lakeshore, Mississauga-Malton, Mississauga-Streetsville, Newmarket-Aurora, Oakville, Oakville North-Burlington, Oshawa, Parkdale-High Park, Pickering-Uxbridge, Richmond Hill, Scarborough Centre, Scarborough North, Scarborough Southwest, Scarborough-Agincourt, Scarborough-Guildwood, Scarborough-Rouge Park, Spadina-Fort York, Thornhill, Toronto-St. Paul's

                          Region: R_ON.Northern

                          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                          Con121,99339.4%225.0%-14.4%225.0%-14.4%
                          NDP106,75134.5%450.0%15.5%450.0%15.5%
                          Lib67,71921.9%225.0%3.1%225.0%3.1%
                          Grn11,3483.7%00.0%-3.7%00.0%-3.7%
                          Total Number of MPs:88
                          Gallagher Index:15.3615.36

                          Topup Seats: (0)

                            Constituent 2015 Ridings

                            Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Kenora, Nickel Belt, Nipissing-Timiskaming, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Superior North

                            Region: R_ON.SouthCentral

                            Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                            PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                            Con374,51343.4%847.1%3.7%847.1%3.7%
                            NDP232,37626.9%529.4%2.5%529.4%2.5%
                            Lib221,70425.7%423.5%-2.2%423.5%-2.2%
                            Grn28,9213.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
                            Total Number of MPs:1717
                            Gallagher Index: 4.22 4.22

                            Topup Seats: (0)

                              Constituent 2015 Ridings

                              Brantford-Brant, Burlington, Cambridge, Flamborough-Glanbrook, Guelph, Haldimand-Norfolk, Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Hamilton Mountain, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener South-Hespeler, Kitchener-Conestoga, Niagara Centre, Niagara Falls, Niagara West, St. Catharines

                              Region: R_ON.Western

                              Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                              PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                              Con416,18546.2%847.1%0.8%847.1%0.8%
                              Lib244,99527.2%529.4%2.2%529.4%2.2%
                              NDP198,84422.1%423.5%1.4%423.5%1.4%
                              Grn35,6514.0%00.0%-4.0%00.0%-4.0%
                              Total Number of MPs:1717
                              Gallagher Index: 3.41 3.41

                              Topup Seats: (0)

                                Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                Barrie-Innisfil, Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte, Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, Chatham-Kent-Leamington, Elgin-Middlesex-London, Essex, Huron-Bruce, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, London North Centre, London West, London-Fanshawe, Oxford, Parry Sound-Muskoka, Perth-Wellington, Sarnia-Lambton, Simcoe North, Simcoe-Grey

                                Region: R_PEI

                                Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                Con32,54841.2%250.0%8.8%250.0%8.8%
                                Lib32,38041.0%250.0%9.0%250.0%9.0%
                                NDP12,13515.4%00.0%-15.4%00.0%-15.4%
                                Grn1,8952.4%00.0%-2.4%00.0%-2.4%
                                Total Number of MPs:44
                                Gallagher Index:14.1614.16

                                Topup Seats: (0)

                                  Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                  Cardigan, Charlottetown, Egmont, Malpeque

                                  Region: R_QC.Eastern

                                  Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                  PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                  NDP580,85144.2%1869.2%25.0%1869.2%25.0%
                                  Bloc291,22622.2%27.7%-14.5%27.7%-14.5%
                                  Con202,17115.4%27.7%-7.7%27.7%-7.7%
                                  Lib185,80914.1%415.4%1.2%415.4%1.2%
                                  Grn27,4692.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
                                  Ind22,7181.7%00.0%-1.7%00.0%-1.7%
                                  Total Number of MPs:2626
                                  Gallagher Index:21.2521.25

                                  Topup Seats: (0)

                                    Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                    Avignon-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia, Beauce, Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix, Beauport-Limoilou, Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Lévis, Berthier-Maskinongé, Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Compton-Stanstead, Drummond, Gaspésie-Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Jonquière, Lac-Saint-Jean, Louis-Hébert, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Lévis-Lotbinière, Manicouagan, Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup, Mégantic-L'Érable, Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, Québec, Richmond-Arthabaska, Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques, Saint-Maurice-Champlain, Sherbrooke

                                    Region: R_QC.MonCentral

                                    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                    NDP633,96742.6%1550.0%7.4%1550.0%7.4%
                                    Bloc358,82524.1%723.3%-0.8%723.3%-0.8%
                                    Con237,34716.0%310.0%-6.0%310.0%-6.0%
                                    Lib220,46214.8%516.7%1.8%516.7%1.8%
                                    Grn32,1592.2%00.0%-2.2%00.0%-2.2%
                                    Total Number of MPs:3030
                                    Gallagher Index: 7.03 7.03

                                    Topup Seats: (0)

                                      Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                      Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Alfred-Pellan, Beloeil-Chambly, Bourassa, Brome-Missisquoi, Brossard-Saint-Lambert, Châteauguay-Lacolle, Hochelaga, Honoré-Mercier, Joliette, La Pointe-de-l'Île, La Prairie, Laurier-Sainte-Marie, Laval-Les Îles, Longueuil-Charles-LeMoyne, Longueuil-Saint-Hubert, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, Montarville, Montcalm, Outremont, Papineau, Pierre-Boucher-Les Patriotes-Verchères, Repentigny, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie, Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot, Saint-Jean, Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel, Salaberry-Suroît, Shefford, Terrebonne

                                      Region: R_QC.MonWestL

                                      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                      NDP416,04741.6%1157.9%16.3%1157.9%16.3%
                                      Bloc241,37424.1%315.8%-8.3%315.8%-8.3%
                                      Con188,44318.8%210.5%-8.3%210.5%-8.3%
                                      Lib132,17613.2%315.8%2.6%315.8%2.6%
                                      Grn20,7742.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
                                      Total Number of MPs:1919
                                      Gallagher Index:14.4114.41

                                      Topup Seats: (0)

                                        Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                        Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation, Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle, Gatineau, Hull-Aylmer, LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, Lac-Saint-Louis, Laurentides-Labelle, Mirabel, Mount Royal, Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount, Pierrefonds-Dollard, Pontiac, Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, Rivière-du-Nord, Saint-Laurent, Thérèse-De Blainville, Vaudreuil-Soulanges

                                        Region: R_SK

                                        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                        Con256,16756.3%1071.4%15.1%1071.4%15.1%
                                        NDP147,21432.3%321.4%-10.9%321.4%-10.9%
                                        Lib38,7438.5%17.1%-1.4%17.1%-1.4%
                                        Grn12,0452.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
                                        Total Number of MPs:1414
                                        Gallagher Index:13.3713.37

                                        Topup Seats: (0)

                                          Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                          Battlefords-Lloydminster, Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek, Cypress Hills-Grasslands, Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River, Moose Jaw-Lake Centre-Lanigan, Prince Albert, Regina-Lewvan, Regina-Qu'Appelle, Regina-Wascana, Saskatoon West, Saskatoon-Grasswood, Saskatoon-University, Souris-Moose Mountain, Yorkton-Melville

                                          Region: R_YT

                                          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                          Con5,42233.8%00.0%-33.8%00.0%-33.8%
                                          Lib5,29032.9%1100.0%67.1%1100.0%67.1%
                                          Grn3,03718.9%00.0%-18.9%00.0%-18.9%
                                          NDP2,30814.4%00.0%-14.4%00.0%-14.4%
                                          Total Number of MPs:11
                                          Gallagher Index:55.6855.68

                                          Topup Seats: (0)

                                            Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                            Yukon